Speculative Diffusion is a Tale of Two Tradeoffs

arXiv:2610.31819v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Speculative decoding is a technique that accelerates the inference speed of autoregressive large language models (LLMs) by sampling from a faster, lower quality draft model. Traditionally, a fundamental characteristic of speculative decoding is that it is lossless with respect to the verifier distribution, guaranteeing speed without sacrificing quality. This differs from recently developed diffusion LLMs (dLLMs), which are notably able to achieve substantial speedups by degrading the quality of their outputs with less diffusion effort. Because diffusion models are able to sample faster than autoregressive models by generating tokens in parallel, they are considered strong candidates for draft models in speculative diffusion. While it is widel